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August 16, 2019

While nationally the property crime rate has experienced a steady decline, many large American counties(defined as counties with a population greater than 250,000) have experienced increases in recent years. When examining which counties have experienced increased property crime, many are concentrated in the West. One in four large counties in the West observed increased property crime over this period. When comparing counties that saw increases, 57% are in the West, 36% are in the South, 7% are in the Midwest and 0% are in the Northeast.  Stronger economic growth distinguishes these identified counties. Counter-intuitive? Not according to the latest property crime data published by the FBI from 2016. Pinkerton is now forecasting the impact of these insights for 2019 with other factors that are correlated. 


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